Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 12.796460 14.343331 16.019026 17.971671 20.187730 22.628245 25.524560
2025-05-11 10.357226 12.427173 14.841468 17.875732 21.601829 26.046554 31.777669
2025-05-18 8.596500 10.932712 13.836334 17.734025 22.865034 29.438097 38.574960
2025-05-25 7.277745 9.736779 12.967895 17.565657 24.006828 32.808443 45.915757
2025-06-01 6.297897 8.811717 12.282034 17.485250 25.197027 36.375649 54.118860
2025-06-08 5.546164 8.076674 11.728331 17.468907 26.426370 40.136905 63.231632
2025-06-15 5.088674 7.691320 11.605742 18.039901 28.582096 45.581306 75.910490
2025-06-22 4.552882 7.109799 11.098170 17.918374 29.591791 49.320057 86.409366
2025-06-29 4.044443 6.502921 10.465246 17.487452 29.993598 52.058508 95.597264
2025-07-06 3.652427 6.034711 9.993549 17.249664 30.667885 55.333854 106.323806
2025-07-13 3.449811 5.857454 9.983303 17.807025 32.838966 61.656686 124.160219
2025-07-20 3.273494 5.703052 9.989469 18.385332 35.119117 68.526798 144.453422
2025-07-27 3.059183 5.463927 9.827985 18.650131 36.877161 74.751135 164.926034
2025-08-03 2.790405 5.096280 9.388433 18.316433 37.374842 78.451963 180.536879
2025-08-10 2.558997 4.774403 8.999700 18.033701 37.938500 82.396554 197.631715
2025-08-17 2.357093 4.488162 8.648342 17.781483 38.529732 86.505129 216.086537
2025-08-24 2.189730 4.252645 8.371975 17.652099 39.376826 91.357417 237.625832
2025-08-31 2.047642 4.053484 8.147839 17.607013 40.412006 96.846783 262.234512
2025-09-07 1.972788 3.984988 8.189001 18.165264 42.985160 106.670825 301.703014
2025-09-14 1.846022 3.794205 7.946854 18.032310 43.819062 112.112823 329.515904
2025-09-21 1.707159 3.564174 7.594866 17.592274 43.798689 115.245064 350.951730
2025-09-28 1.596085 3.384554 7.337166 17.349321 44.258968 119.798796 378.206015
2025-10-05 1.550120 3.345783 7.396753 17.907976 46.982423 131.401312 432.607960